The Impact of Climate Change on Livestock Management in Africa: A Structural Ricardian Analysis

  • This paper develops the structural Ricardian method, a new approach to modeling agricultural performance using cross-sectional evidence, and uses the method to study animal husbandry in Africa. The traditional Ricardian approach measures the interaction between climate and agriculture (Mendelsohn et al. 1994; Seo et al. 2005) but it does not reveal how farmers actually adapt. It is consequently difficult to compare traditional Ricardian results with microeconomic models built from the details of agronomic research (e.g. Adams et al. 1990, 1999; Reilly et al. 1996). The Model is intended to estimate the structure beneath Ricardian results in order to understand how farmers change their behavior in response to climate. In this African livestock example, the Structural Ricardian Model estimates which species are selected, the number of animals per farm, and the net revenue per animal. All three of these elements are climate sensitive.

  • Seo, Sungno Niggol; Mendelsohn, Robert

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  • 2007-00-00

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  • Central Africa; East Africa; Northern Africa; Southern Africa; West Africa